Chess rating change calculator

Calculate modeled rating change by game and expected score by game with your own figures.

Your numbers

Use the units shown. Results update as you change valid inputs.

Use modeled rating change by game and expected score by game to compare changes to your inputs. The method and limits below explain the scope.

Examples

Examples

Try the starting example

Initial rating
1600
Games in order: ID, opponent rating, actual score 0/0.5/1, supplied K
G1,1600,1,20 G2,1800,0,20
Supplied logistic scale
400
Absolute rating-difference cap for each expectation, or none
400
Expectations use fixed initial rating or sequential updated rating
fixed
Modeled rating change by game
G1: 10; G2: -4.80506146704
Expected score by game
G1: 0.5; G2: 0.240253073352
Final unrounded modeled rating
1,605.194939
Total supplied actual points
1
Total modeled expected points
0.740253

Try another scenario

Initial rating
1600
Games in order: ID, opponent rating, actual score 0/0.5/1, supplied K
G1,1600,1,20 G2,1800,0,20
Supplied logistic scale
400
Absolute rating-difference cap for each expectation, or none
400
Expectations use fixed initial rating or sequential updated rating
sequential
Modeled rating change by game
G1: 10; G2: -5.01833874245
Expected score by game
G1: 0.5; G2: 0.250916937122
Final unrounded modeled rating
1,604.981661
Total supplied actual points
1
Total modeled expected points
0.750917
Calculation method

Calculation method

Modeled rating change by game

Supplied K×(actual score−expected score), with no per-game rounding.

Expected score by game

Use supplied-scale logistic expectation with optional symmetric difference cap; fixed uses initial rating for every game, sequential uses current updated rating.

Final unrounded modeled rating

Initial rating+sum supplied-game modeled changes.

Total supplied actual points

Sum supplied actual scores; only 0, 0.5 and 1 are supported.

Total modeled expected points

Sum modeled per-game expected score fractions.

Symbols and units
a
Initial rating
b
Games in order: ID, opponent rating, actual score 0/0.5/1, supplied K
c
Supplied logistic scale
d
Absolute rating-difference cap for each expectation, or none
e
Expectations use fixed initial rating or sequential updated rating

Use the units shown. A list keeps the order in which you enter its values. The symbol ^ means “raised to the power of”.

Assumptions & limits

Assumptions & limits

  • A supplied smooth logistic rating-update scenario with explicit fixed/sequential, K and difference-cap choices. It does not implement current FIDE rating tables, title rules, floors, initial ratings or official publication rounding.
Are these inputs private?

These calculations run in your browser. A shared link contains the values you choose to share. Only questions submitted to the separate AI finder are sent to OpenAI.

Further reading

FIDE: rating-system background; this worksheet uses a smooth supplied-scale logistic model, not FIDE table processing ↗

Background reading; this does not imply endorsement or independent review of SumFizz.

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