Expected value calculator

Calculate expected value with your own figures.

Your numbers

Use the units shown. Results update as you change valid inputs.

Use expected value to compare changes to your inputs. The method and limits below explain the scope.

Examples

Examples

Try the starting example

Outcomes
0,10
Probabilities
0.8,0.2
Expected value
2

Try another scenario

Outcomes
0,20
Probabilities
0.8,0.2
Expected value
4
Calculation method

Calculation method

Expected value

Multiply each outcome in a by its paired probability in b, then add the products.

Symbols and units
a
Outcomes
b
Probabilities

Use the units shown. A list keeps the order in which you enter its values. The symbol ^ means “raised to the power of”.

Assumptions & limits

Assumptions & limits

  • Probabilities must sum to one. The expected value need not be a possible single outcome. Lists support up to 1,000 finite values.
Are these inputs private?

These calculations run in your browser. A shared link contains the values you choose to share. Only questions submitted to the separate AI finder are sent to OpenAI.

Further reading

Method reference ↗

Background reading; this does not imply endorsement or independent review of SumFizz.

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