Poker draw improvement odds calculator

Calculate probability final category is at least selected target and possible equally likely replacement draws with your own figures.

Your numbers

Use the units shown. Results update as you change valid inputs.

Use probability final category is at least selected target and possible equally likely replacement draws to compare changes to your inputs. The method and limits below explain the scope.

Examples

Examples

Try the starting example

Current five cards, comma-separated
AH,KH,QH,JH,2C
Cards retained from current hand, two to five cards
AH,KH,QH,JH
Other visible dead cards, or none
none
Minimum target category, in traditional high-hand order
flush
Probability final category is at least selected target
0.191489
Possible equally likely replacement draws
47
Replacement card count
1
Final exact-category probability distribution
high-card: 0.489361702128; one-pair: 0.255319148936; two-pair: 0; three-of-a-kind: 0; straight: 0.063829787234; flush: 0.170212765957; full-house: 0; four-of-a-kind: 0; straight-flush: 0.0212765957447

Try another scenario

Current five cards, comma-separated
AH,KH,QH,JH,2C
Cards retained from current hand, two to five cards
AH,KH,QH,JH
Other visible dead cards, or none
none
Minimum target category, in traditional high-hand order
straight
Probability final category is at least selected target
0.255319
Possible equally likely replacement draws
47
Replacement card count
1
Final exact-category probability distribution
high-card: 0.489361702128; one-pair: 0.255319148936; two-pair: 0; three-of-a-kind: 0; straight: 0.063829787234; flush: 0.170212765957; full-house: 0; four-of-a-kind: 0; straight-flush: 0.0212765957447
Calculation method

Calculation method

Probability final category is at least selected target

Enumerate unordered replacement subsets and classify each final five-card hand; sum categories at/above the supplied target.

Possible equally likely replacement draws

Choose undealt-card count,5−retained count. All current cards, including discards, and other dead cards are excluded from draw pool.

Replacement card count

Five minus retained-card count.

Final exact-category probability distribution

Exact category counts/draw combinations; royal flush remains within straight-flush.

Symbols and units
a
Current five cards, comma-separated
b
Cards retained from current hand, two to five cards
c
Other visible dead cards, or none
d
Minimum target category, in traditional high-hand order

Use the units shown. A list keeps the order in which you enter its values. The symbol ^ means “raised to the power of”.

Assumptions & limits

Assumptions & limits

  • One replacement draw with two to five retained cards. Current discards are set aside and cannot be redrawn. This is a uniform-deal category calculation, not a discard recommendation or a poker-win prediction against opponents.
Are these inputs private?

These calculations run in your browser. A shared link contains the values you choose to share. Only questions submitted to the separate AI finder are sent to OpenAI.

Further reading

PokerStars: traditional five-card hand categories; royal flushes are included in straight-flush here ↗

Background reading; this does not imply endorsement or independent review of SumFizz.

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