Trail water-source reliability scenarios calculator

Calculate minimum modeled initial volume by scenario and largest modeled between-refill requirement by scenario with your own figures.

Your numbers

Use the units shown. Results update as you change valid inputs.

Use minimum modeled initial volume by scenario and largest modeled between-refill requirement by scenario to compare changes to your inputs. The method and limits below explain the scope.

Examples

Examples

Try the starting example

Legs: ID, supplied consumption L, refill-source label after leg or none
L1,3,Spring L2,2,Tap L3,4,none
Availability scenarios: name, unavailable source labels joined by | or none
Normal,none DrySpring,Spring DryAll,Spring|Tap
Supplied usable carrying volume (L)
5
Minimum modeled initial volume by scenario (L)
Normal: 3; DrySpring: 5; DryAll: 9
Largest modeled between-refill requirement by scenario (L)
Normal: 4; DrySpring: 5; DryAll: 9
Largest requirement above supplied capacity by scenario (L)
Normal: 0; DrySpring: 0; DryAll: 4
Total supplied leg consumption (L)
9
Required departure volume by scenario/leg (L)
Normal: L1=3 / L2=2 / L3=4; DrySpring: L1=5 / L2=2 / L3=4; DryAll: L1=9 / L2=6 / L3=4

Try another scenario

Legs: ID, supplied consumption L, refill-source label after leg or none
L1,3,Spring L2,2,Tap L3,4,none
Availability scenarios: name, unavailable source labels joined by | or none
Normal,none DrySpring,Spring DryAll,Spring|Tap
Supplied usable carrying volume (L)
3
Minimum modeled initial volume by scenario (L)
Normal: 3; DrySpring: 5; DryAll: 9
Largest modeled between-refill requirement by scenario (L)
Normal: 4; DrySpring: 5; DryAll: 9
Largest requirement above supplied capacity by scenario (L)
Normal: 1; DrySpring: 2; DryAll: 6
Total supplied leg consumption (L)
9
Required departure volume by scenario/leg (L)
Normal: L1=3 / L2=2 / L3=4; DrySpring: L1=5 / L2=2 / L3=4; DryAll: L1=9 / L2=6 / L3=4
Calculation method

Calculation method

Minimum modeled initial volume by scenario (L)

Sum supplied leg consumption through the first available after-leg refill or finish.

Largest modeled between-refill requirement by scenario (L)

For each departure sum through the next available refill or finish, then take the largest segment requirement.

Largest requirement above supplied capacity by scenario (L)

max(0,largest modeled requirement−supplied usable volume).

Total supplied leg consumption (L)

Sum all leg consumption, independent of refill assumptions.

Required departure volume by scenario/leg (L)

Backward-looking requirement to the next declared available refill, not an instruction to carry a health-prescribed amount.

Symbols and units
a
Legs: ID, supplied consumption L, refill-source label after leg or none
b
Availability scenarios: name, unavailable source labels joined by | or none
c
Supplied usable carrying volume (L)

Use the units shown. A list keeps the order in which you enter its values. The symbol ^ means “raised to the power of”.

Assumptions & limits

Assumptions & limits

  • A supplied consumption/refill-availability volume model. Available sources are assumed unlimited under each scenario; this does not predict source reliability, verify water quality, prescribe hydration or assess route safety.
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Further reading

OpenStax: ratios and rates; all itinerary rates, limits and scenario rules are supplied inputs ↗

Background reading; this does not imply endorsement or independent review of SumFizz.

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