Propagation batch survival calculator

Calculate expected plants after each stage and expected final plants with your own figures.

Your numbers

Use the units shown. Results update as you change valid inputs.

Use expected plants after each stage and expected final plants to compare changes to your inputs. The method and limits below explain the scope.

Examples

Examples

Try the starting example

Plants entering the first stage
1000
Observed survival at each sequential stage (%)
80,75,90
Required final plants
500
Expected plants after each stage
800, 600, 540
Expected final plants
540
Combined survival (%)
54
Opening plants required at these rates
926
Expected final surplus or shortage
40

Try another scenario

Plants entering the first stage
100
Observed survival at each sequential stage (%)
50,0
Required final plants
10
Expected plants after each stage
50, 0
Expected final plants
0
Combined survival (%)
0
Opening plants required at these rates
Impossible at supplied rates
Expected final surplus or shortage
-10
Calculation method

Calculation method

Expected plants after each stage

Multiply sequentially by each entered survival fraction, retaining fractional expected counts.

Expected final plants

Final expected count after all stages.

Combined survival (%)

Product of stage survival fractions × 100.

Opening plants required at these rates

Round up target / combined survival; Impossible at supplied rates if survival is zero and target is positive.

Expected final surplus or shortage

Expected final plants − required final plants.

Symbols and units
a
Plants entering the first stage
b
Observed survival at each sequential stage (%)
c
Required final plants

Use the units shown. A list keeps the order in which you enter its values. The symbol ^ means “raised to the power of”.

Assumptions & limits

Assumptions & limits

  • Expected sequential survival from observed rates, not a guaranteed final plant count. Fractions are not rounded at intermediate stages. Zero-survival stages are reported explicitly.
Are these inputs private?

These calculations run in your browser. A shared link contains the values you choose to share. Only questions submitted to the separate AI finder are sent to OpenAI.

Further reading

OpenStax: arithmetic and geometry ↗

Background reading; this does not imply endorsement or independent review of SumFizz.

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